# Return of El Niño | RNZ

> New Zealand's NIWA says there is a more than 50% chance of El Nino returning from August to October, with some models forecasting a moderate or stronger event. Sea temperatures off South America have warmed.

- Date: 2017-03-01 · published 2017-03-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/71914-return-of-el-nino-rnz
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A possible strong El Nino would be a notable global weather driver for 2017 crops, though New Zealand's pasture and feed impacts are local and small for world feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-07-25 | [Odds are El Niño, precipitation will return](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63942-odds-are-el-nino-precipitation-will-return.md) | +3.5% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2025-10-09 | [Monitoring the return of La Niña \| Capital Economics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22311-monitoring-the-return-of-la-nina-capital-economics.md) | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2017-07-12 | [El Niño Outlook for July 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69876-el-nino-outlook-for-july-2017.md) | -4.1% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2017-03-09 | [Return of the Dirty Thirties — with a vengeance](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71830-return-of-the-dirty-thirties-with-a-vengeance.md) | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2019-08-20 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57495-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2025-10-09 | [Monitoring the return of La Niña \| Capital Economics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22311-monitoring-the-return-of-la-nina-capital-economics.md) | -2.2% | +8.8% |
| SOY | 2017-07-12 | [El Niño Outlook for July 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69876-el-nino-outlook-for-july-2017.md) | -3.5% | -6.1% |
| SOY | 2019-08-20 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57495-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019.md) | -0.0% | +4.7% |

## Sources

- rnz.co.nz: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/country/325693/return-of-el-nino

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.