# Wheat production likely to be lower

> Rain has improved hard red winter wheat crop conditions in Oklahoma, Texas and Kansas, but planted acreage is 12% lower than 2016. Analysts say Oklahoma and Texas harvest prices could land between $4.00 and $4.24, with $5.00 requiring about a 10% cut in foreign output.

- Date: 2017-04-05 · published 2017-04-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/71542-wheat-production-likely-to-be-lower
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower HRW acreage supports prices, but the improved crop ratings and weak foreign shortfall limit upside for wheat used in feed.

## Read by commodity

- KWHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2023-02-02 | [Drought threatens U.S. wheat production despite acreage bump](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37378-drought-threatens-u-s-wheat-production-despite-acreage-bump.md) | +1.3% | -5.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2024-05-17 | [Wheat rises on Russian crop woes, but US production outlook limits gains - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4593-wheat-rises-on-russian-crop-woes-but-us-production-outlook-limits-gains-markets.md) | +5.6% | -6.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-10-03 | [Russian wheat exports start to pick up the pace \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14169-russian-wheat-exports-start-to-pick-up-the-pace-the-western-producer.md) | -1.9% | +2.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-10-02 | [Wheat hits 1-wk low on higher US output, soybean prices ease](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7537-wheat-hits-1-wk-low-on-higher-us-output-soybean-prices-ease.md) | -1.4% | -4.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Limited wheat pasture run by cattle expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66163-limited-wheat-pasture-run-by-cattle-expected.md) | -7.6% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/wheat/it-takes-more-than-rain-to-make-grain

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.