# The Disappearing Farm Bill Safety Net | Farm Bureau Intel Markets | American Farm Bureau Federation

> AFBF economist John Newton reports that CBO projects ARC-CO assistance falling by 63% for corn, 12% for soybeans and 7% for wheat by fiscal 2019 from 2015 levels. More than 80% of counties with those crops may see lower ARC-CO revenue guarantees for the 2018/19 crop year.

- Date: 2017-04-24 · published 2017-04-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/71482-the-disappearing-farm-bill-safety-net-farm-bureau-intel-markets-american-farm
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower projected safety-net payments mean farmers may face weaker income support if prices stay low, which could influence acreage and marketing decisions over time, with limited immediate price effect.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral
- FCATTLE: bearish ▼
- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-14 | [Did the Administration's Plan to Lower Beef Prices Wreck the Bull Run in the Cattle Market? - Drovers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6067-did-the-administration-s-plan-to-lower-beef-prices-wreck-the-bull-run-in-the.md) | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| FCATTLE | 2020-05-01 | [Addressing competition concerns in the beef industry \| Oklahoma Farm Bureau](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53081-addressing-competition-concerns-in-the-beef-industry-oklahoma-farm-bureau.md) | +9.3% | +13.6% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-10-23 | [Daybreak Oct. 23: Trump’s beef comments spark market volatility, alarm producers \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6340-daybreak-oct-23-trump-s-beef-comments-spark-market-volatility-alarm-producers.md) | -4.7% | -6.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-09-02 | [Cattle markets fall on Trump beef import plan](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17628-cattle-markets-fall-on-trump-beef-import-plan.md) | +2.9% | +5.0% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-20 | [Ranchers hit hard as Trump lifts beef tariffs, calls for more foreign beef during market season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5447-ranchers-hit-hard-as-trump-lifts-beef-tariffs-calls-for-more-foreign-beef.md) | -7.8% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-01 | [Trade Aid Round Two: A Per-Acre Perspective \| Farm Bureau Intel Markets \| American Farm Bureau Federation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62517-trade-aid-round-two-a-per-acre-perspective-farm-bureau-intel-markets-american.md) | +2.9% | +8.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-08 | [Trump Administration Announces $12 Billion Farmer Bridge Payments for American Farmers Impacted by Unfair Market Disruptions \| USDA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21481-trump-administration-announces-12-billion-farmer-bridge-payments-for-american.md) | -1.5% | -1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-27 | [Commodity groups to House Ag: Expand ag safety net in 2023 farm bill \| National \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36401-commodity-groups-to-house-ag-expand-ag-safety-net-in-2023-farm-bill-national.md) | +1.1% | -2.6% |

## Sources

- fb.org: https://www.fb.org/intel/markets/in-the-cattle-markets
- fb.org: https://www.fb.org/intel/markets/the-disappearing-farm-bill-safety-net

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.