# Eyes glued to Pacific, for monsoon clues - The HinduBusinessLine

> The article explains how Pacific Ocean warming, the El Niño pattern, affects India's southwest monsoon, which drives its farm economy. It notes that El Niño caused deficit monsoons in 2014 and 2015 and that a moderate-to-strong El Niño is indicated for the coming year.

- Date: 2017-04-09 · published 2017-04-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/71434-eyes-glued-to-pacific-for-monsoon-clues-the-hindubusinessline
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A weak monsoon in India would cut kharif rice and other crop output, tightening Asian rice and feed supplies and supporting prices.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-06-02 | [India cuts foodgrains output target amid below normal monsoon forecast - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18741-india-cuts-foodgrains-output-target-amid-below-normal-monsoon-forecast-the.md) | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| RICE | 2026-08-07 | [Rice prices steam up in Indian domestic market on demand-supply gap, deficient monsoon - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17974-rice-prices-steam-up-in-indian-domestic-market-on-demand-supply-gap-deficient.md) | +0.1% | +7.4% |
| RICE | 2023-03-10 | [Shadow of El Nino over growth - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36764-shadow-of-el-nino-over-growth-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +8.0% | +3.9% |
| RICE | 2023-02-27 | [What if El Nino materialises in 2023? - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37250-what-if-el-nino-materialises-in-2023-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +1.2% | +6.4% |
| RICE | 2026-07-24 | [Rice rates hit 10-month high as weather concerns grip major hubs - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18426-rice-rates-hit-10-month-high-as-weather-concerns-grip-major-hubs-the.md) | -2.6% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/portfolio/commodity-analysis/eyes-glued-to-pacific-for-monsoon-clues/article21955498.ece1

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.