# Reduced downward margin - DHL Freight Connections

> Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg says oil prices have fallen well below the $50-plus levels seen early in 2017, and diesel is about 10% lower than in winter. He expects OPEC discipline to slip in the second half of the year, which would push crude lower, while diesel prices stay firmer on rising demand.

- Date: 2017-06-08 · published 2017-06-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/70703-reduced-downward-margin-dhl-freight-connections
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected softness in crude with firmer diesel demand means fuel costs may ease less than crude, keeping the diesel-crude spread relevant for feed transport budgets.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- DIESEL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2026-07-02 | [Margins hold tight despite falling prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8576-margins-hold-tight-despite-falling-prices.md) | +7.0% | +23.3% |
| WTI | 2023-03-20 | [Benchmark diesel price down 7 weeks in a row - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37031-benchmark-diesel-price-down-7-weeks-in-a-row-freightwaves.md) | +3.9% | +21.4% |
| WTI | 2018-12-22 | [The FreightWaves oil report: a tumbling market pushes prices down to levels of mid-2017 - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61736-the-freightwaves-oil-report-a-tumbling-market-pushes-prices-down-to-levels-of.md) | -0.5% | +15.7% |
| WTI | 2018-11-30 | [Crude Oil Dragging Down Corn \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62099-crude-oil-dragging-down-corn-red-river-farm-network.md) | +0.1% | -12.1% |
| WTI | 2020-02-25 | [Canadian Dollar May Fall as Crude Oil Eyes Downtrend Resumption? \| Forex trading, free forex education \| Forex.ca](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54812-canadian-dollar-may-fall-as-crude-oil-eyes-downtrend-resumption-forex-trading.md) | -9.0% | -54.6% |
| DIESEL | 2020-01-30 | [Marathon CEO predicts ‘stair-step’ of diesel margins in response to IMO 2020 - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55258-marathon-ceo-predicts-stair-step-of-diesel-margins-in-response-to-imo-2020.md) | -2.6% | -12.2% |
| DIESEL | 2025-03-20 | [Diesel disconnect highlights market angst, not market reality: Bousso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25789-diesel-disconnect-highlights-market-angst-not-market-reality-bousso.md) | +2.6% | -5.2% |
| DIESEL | 2020-09-17 | [Secondary Market Demand Crucial to Diesel Recovery \| Energy Intelligence](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51275-secondary-market-demand-crucial-to-diesel-recovery-energy-intelligence.md) | -0.9% | +7.3% |

## Sources

- dhl-freight-connections.com: https://dhl-freight-connections.com/en/trends/diesel-prices-q2-2017/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.