# Winter crop down from record 2016-17, but still set for five-year average - Grain Central

> Australia's winter crop is forecast to fall 33% to 40.1 million tonnes in 2017/18 from the record 2016/17 crop, according to ABARES. Wheat is forecast down 31% and barley down 39%, though total output is still around the five-year average.

- Date: 2017-06-14 · published 2017-06-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/70447-winter-crop-down-from-record-2016-17-but-still-set-for-five-year-average-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

The expected drop in Australian wheat and barley exports supports world grain prices and makes Australian feed barley less available to buyers in Asia.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-26 | [Rabo sees winter-crop area down 8pc on year to 23.1Mha - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19236-rabo-sees-winter-crop-area-down-8pc-on-year-to-23-1mha-grain-central.md) | -0.7% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-10 | [Winter crop down but still above last year \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57043-winter-crop-down-but-still-above-last-year-farm-online-act.md) | +2.6% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-12-05 | [Winter crop set to fall to 35.1 million tonnes: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67431-winter-crop-set-to-fall-to-35-1-million-tonnes-abares-grain-central.md) | -4.7% | -2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2017-12-12 | [Winter crop down, summer plantings up: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67429-winter-crop-down-summer-plantings-up-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.4% | +2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-02 | [ABARES releases initial forecasts for winter crops - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24166-abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops-grain-central.md) | +2.9% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/markets/winter-crop-down-from-record-2016-17-but-still-set-for-five-year-average/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.