# Commodity forecaster tipping cut to winter crop production, but still expected to be fifth largest harvest - ABC News

> ABARES forecasts Australia's 2017/18 winter crop at 40.1 million tonnes, down 33% from the record 2016/17 harvest, mainly on assumed lower average yields. The wheat crop is forecast at 24.2 million tonnes, down 31%, and barley at 8.1 million tonnes, down 39%. Output would still be near the five-year average.

- Date: 2017-06-13 · published 2017-06-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/70446-commodity-forecaster-tipping-cut-to-winter-crop-production-but-still-expected
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp Australian wheat and barley supply cut tightens export availability for feed and milling grains and supports international prices, especially as other major wheat exporters also face lower output.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-05 | [Australia's winter crop production forecast to be down 21 per cent](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18772-australia-s-winter-crop-production-forecast-to-be-down-21-per-cent.md) | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-06 | [Winter crop production expected to be above average with high global prices - Australasian Farmers' & Dealers' Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40443-winter-crop-production-expected-to-be-above-average-with-high-global-prices.md) | -5.1% | -4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-12 | [Lower-Than-Expected Winter Wheat Production Sends KC Wheat Futures Soaring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35885-lower-than-expected-winter-wheat-production-sends-kc-wheat-futures-soaring.md) | -1.1% | -6.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-10-17 | [Winter crop harvest expected near five year average with price benefits - Australasian Farmers' & Dealers' Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33574-winter-crop-harvest-expected-near-five-year-average-with-price-benefits.md) | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-10 | [ABARES crop report forecasts another poor harvest for Australia's grain growers - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57042-abares-crop-report-forecasts-another-poor-harvest-for-australia-s-grain-growers.md) | +2.6% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- abc.net.au: https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/rural-news/2017-06-14/weather-concerns-loom-large-over-abares-crop-forecast/8612486

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.