# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2017 June Quick Look

> The IRI June Quick Look states that in mid-June 2017 the tropical Pacific remained ENSO-neutral, with sea-surface temperatures close to the El Niño threshold. Latest model ensembles favor neutral conditions through summer, with El Niño odds rising to about 40-45% in fall and early winter.

- Date: 2017-06-15 · published 2017-06-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/70407-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-june-quick
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Neutral conditions through summer reduce near-term weather risk to global grain and oilseed crops. Rising fall El Niño odds are a longer-term watch item for Southeast Asian palm oil and Australian wheat supply.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- PALMOIL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2017-07-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2017 July Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69874-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-july-quick.md) | +1.4% | +4.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2025-11-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| November 2025 Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21854-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-november-2025.md) | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-06-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| June Climate Briefing: El Niño Odds Continue Downward Trend](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70405-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-june-climate.md) | -0.6% | +2.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-11-01 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| October Climate Briefing: El Niño Remains Neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55983-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-october-climate.md) | +12.8% | +16.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-07-24 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| July Climate Briefing: El Niño Odds Continue Downward Trend](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69873-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-july-climate.md) | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-07-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2017 July Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69874-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-july-quick.md) | -2.9% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 August Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57496-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-august-quick.md) | -1.3% | -3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 December Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61498-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-december.md) | -2.1% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2017-june-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.