# Palm oil analysts see price rise as China demand shifts; output growth eases

> Analysts said palm oil prices should improve next year as output growth slows and China shifts some vegetable oil demand to palm because of its trade dispute with the US. Malaysian futures fell to 2,108 ringgit a tonne, their lowest in over three years. Analyst Thomas Mielke expects palm and soy oil to rise $50-100 a tonne over nine months.

- Date: 2018-11-02 · published 2018-11-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Malaysia/Indonesia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6989-palm-oil-analysts-see-price-rise-as-china-demand-shifts-output-growth-eases
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Demand switching from soyoil to palm and slowing supply growth support palm and soy oil prices. The main downside risk is a resolution of the US-China dispute, which would reduce that substitution demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-03-01 | [Indian demand for palm oil to rebound as prices at discount to Chinese soyoil, analysts say](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20692-indian-demand-for-palm-oil-to-rebound-as-prices-at-discount-to-chinese-soyoil.md) | +5.0% | +8.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2025-04-22 | [Palm Oil demand from China and India expected to rise as prices become competitive, says MPOC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25223-palm-oil-demand-from-china-and-india-expected-to-rise-as-prices-become.md) | +0.8% | -2.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2020-10-25 | [China and India demand boosts palm oil price despite EU pressure - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50738-china-and-india-demand-boosts-palm-oil-price-despite-eu-pressure-nikkei-asia.md) | +0.6% | +13.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2021-03-08 | [Palm oil opportunities: India and China demand for Malaysian palm oil likely to rise this year as economies open up](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47979-palm-oil-opportunities-india-and-china-demand-for-malaysian-palm-oil-likely-to.md) | +6.6% | -1.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-07-29 | [Demand for M’sian palm oil rises \| Borneo Post Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6470-demand-for-m-sian-palm-oil-rises-borneo-post-online.md) | +3.1% | +8.5% |
| SBO | 2025-02-26 | [Palm oil imports to hit 5-year low amid price shifts, rising output \| Industry News - Business Standard](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26147-palm-oil-imports-to-hit-5-year-low-amid-price-shifts-rising-output-industry.md) | -5.7% | -5.1% |
| SBO | 2025-04-07 | [US tariffs to impact palm oil demand and prices, says CIMB Securities](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9627-us-tariffs-to-impact-palm-oil-demand-and-prices-says-cimb-securities.md) | +2.0% | +5.6% |
| SBO | 2025-11-01 | [Palm Oil Magazine - CPO Prices Decline Amid Rising Global Soybean Demand, Friday, Oct 31, 2025 - Palm Oil Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4448-palm-oil-magazine-cpo-prices-decline-amid-rising-global-soybean-demand-friday.md) | -0.7% | +4.3% |

## Sources

- business-standard.com: https://www.business-standard.com/article/reuters/palm-oil-analysts-see-price-rise-as-china-demand-shifts-output-growth-eases-118110200965_1.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.