# Grains Report 10/31/2025 - Market InsightsMarket Insights

> Wheat closed lower after a US trade deal with Southeast Asian countries including China did not include wheat purchases, and no USDA reports were released during the shutdown. Russian winter wheat is dry while spring wheat yields are reportedly strong, and rice fell on weak Asian prices.

- Date: 2025-10-31 · published 2025-10-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6940-grains-report-10-31-2025-market-insightsmarket-insights
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

The absence of wheat purchases in the trade deal removed a potential demand catalyst, leaving wheat prices pressured by ample supply and weaker world prices.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-11-03 | 1 | -3.2% | -4.6 | On Oct 31 wheat closed lower because the US trade deal with Southeast Asian countries including China excluded wheat purchases, and no USDA reports were out; this disappointment fits the sell-off heading into Nov 3. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-10 | [Grain market week in review - May 10, 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5736-grain-market-week-in-review-may-10-2019.md) | -0.5% | +4.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-07 | [Ukraine's Grain Exports 2025/26: Trends and Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14150-ukraine-s-grain-exports-2025-26-trends-and-insights.md) | -0.2% | +2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-04-26 | [Grain market week in review - April 26, 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10959-grain-market-week-in-review-april-26-2019.md) | -3.9% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2024-03-04 | [Arable Market Report - 04 March 2024 \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7298-arable-market-report-04-march-2024-ahdb.md) | +7.2% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-03 | [Wheat Market Outlook Special Tariff Report – March 3, 2025 \| Sask Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8144-wheat-market-outlook-special-tariff-report-march-3-2025-sask-wheat.md) | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| RICE | 2025-09-30 | [Vietnam’s rice market – September 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22944-vietnam-s-rice-market-september-2025.md) | -2.9% | -9.5% |
| RICE | 2017-03-15 | [Mexico opens market to beef imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71965-mexico-opens-market-to-beef-imports.md) | +2.3% | +7.5% |
| RICE | 2020-12-23 | [India’s Rice Exports up 33%, Likely to Export 10 million Non-Basmati Rice this Year - Grainmart News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49614-india-s-rice-exports-up-33-likely-to-export-10-million-non-basmati-rice-this.md) | -1.3% | +7.4% |

## Sources

- blog.pricegroup.com: https://blog.pricegroup.com/2025/10/31/grains-report-10-31-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.