# Gold: Risk from Diminished Rate Expectations

> CME analysis argues gold, silver and platinum have rebounded over six months as markets priced out Fed rate hikes. By end-August, futures implied a Fed funds rate most likely below 1.5% in two years, down from 1.75%-2.00% in March.

- Date: 2017-09-07 · published 2017-09-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/68882-gold-risk-from-diminished-rate-expectations
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower expected rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals, a relationship that signals how rate expectations shape broader asset flows and currency moves.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2025-11-28 | [Dollar Finishes Lower and Gold Rallies on Fed Rate Cut Expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21879-dollar-finishes-lower-and-gold-rallies-on-fed-rate-cut-expectations.md) | -0.5% | -1.5% |
| DXY | 2023-01-11 | [Gold prices surge on expectations for slower Fed rate rises](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37704-gold-prices-surge-on-expectations-for-slower-fed-rate-rises.md) | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| DXY | 2022-10-31 | [Dollar gains on Fed rate hike expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39325-dollar-gains-on-fed-rate-hike-expectations.md) | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| DXY | 2018-03-01 | [Gold slips to two-month low on US rate expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65903-gold-slips-to-two-month-low-on-us-rate-expectations.md) | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| DXY | 2024-08-16 | [Gold rallies to record high on softer dollar, rate-cut expectations \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28697-gold-rallies-to-record-high-on-softer-dollar-rate-cut-expectations-reuters.md) | -0.2% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- cmegroup.com: https://www.cmegroup.com/education/featured-reports/gold-risk-from-diminished-rate-expectations

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
