# WASDE: USDA surprises with even bigger corn production

> USDA's September crop report raised its corn production outlook to a record despite lower per-acre yields, and boosted 2025-26 corn exports to a record near 3 billion bushels. December corn settled up 10.25 cents at $4.30 and November soybeans rose 12.75 cents to $10.4625 as the market rallied.

- Date: 2025-09-13 · published 2025-09-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6849-wasde-usda-surprises-with-even-bigger-corn-production
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Higher acreage and record production are bearish supply signals, but a record export forecast and dry August conditions offset them, supporting prices for corn and soybeans.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-09-14 | 1 | +5.2% | 5.5 | December corn settled up 10.25 cents on the WASDE's record export forecast and lower yields, which matches the size of the move. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-11-09 | [WASDE Report Surprises With Lower Yield, Production, Soy Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43997-wasde-report-surprises-with-lower-yield-production-soy-stocks.md) | +1.2% | +5.2% |
| CORN | 2024-11-11 | [November WASDE Surprises With Larger-Than-Expected Yield, Production Cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27339-november-wasde-surprises-with-larger-than-expected-yield-production-cuts.md) | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2019-06-11 | [U.S. Corn Production, Supplies Fall, USDA Says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58451-u-s-corn-production-supplies-fall-usda-says.md) | +6.2% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2022-05-13 | [USDA: U.S. Corn Production to Drop 4.3%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13358-usda-u-s-corn-production-to-drop-4-3.md) | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2025-01-10 | [WASDE: Lower corn, soy production lifts prices significantly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13118-wasde-lower-corn-soy-production-lifts-prices-significantly.md) | +3.2% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2021-11-09 | [WASDE Report Surprises With Lower Yield, Production, Soy Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43997-wasde-report-surprises-with-lower-yield-production-soy-stocks.md) | +6.7% | +6.1% |
| SOY | 2024-11-11 | [November WASDE Surprises With Larger-Than-Expected Yield, Production Cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27339-november-wasde-surprises-with-larger-than-expected-yield-production-cuts.md) | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| SOY | 2019-06-11 | [U.S. Corn Production, Supplies Fall, USDA Says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58451-u-s-corn-production-supplies-fall-usda-says.md) | +6.3% | +2.8% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/marketing/wasde-usda-defies-expectations-with-even-bigger-corn-production

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.