# ABC Rural Grain production slides as WA battles big dry and east coast farmers suffer frost

> Rabobank forecasts Australia's 2017/18 winter grain crop at 35 million tonnes, down 41% from last year's record 59 million. A dry winter in Western Australia and severe east coast frosts are behind the shortfall, leaving output about eight million tonnes below the five-year average.

- Date: 2017-11-02 · published 2017-11-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/67936-abc-rural-grain-production-slides-as-wa-battles-big-dry-and-east-coast-farmers
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A crop roughly 40% smaller than last season reduces Australian export supply for the Northern Hemisphere's off-season, supporting wheat and barley prices and feed grain costs for buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-11 | [Drought bites in the east as ABARES forecasts 12pc cut to grain production - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62980-drought-bites-in-the-east-as-abares-forecasts-12pc-cut-to-grain-production-abc.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-22 | [Record grain harvest potential for Western Australian farmers as prices spike on east coast drought - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63501-record-grain-harvest-potential-for-western-australian-farmers-as-prices-spike.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-20 | [Feedgrain Focus: WA frost and eastern dry lift values - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63096-feedgrain-focus-wa-frost-and-eastern-dry-lift-values-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | +7.9% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-12 | [Forecast decrease for winter crop production: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68910-forecast-decrease-for-winter-crop-production-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.0% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-11 | [Big season in west can’t drag national production up \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62983-big-season-in-west-can-t-drag-national-production-up-farm-online-act.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |

## Sources

- abc.net.au: https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2017-11-02/aussie-grain-harvest-down-in-2017/9111556

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.