# ‘2017/18 season difficult to predict’

> FEWSNET says the 2017/18 southern Africa rainy season is hard to forecast because the main climate drivers are near neutral. The latest outlook shows La Niña is now most likely during October 2017 to March 2018, instead of neutral. La Niña usually brings wetter-than-normal conditions to the region from December to February.

- Date: 2017-11-09 · published 2017-11-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Southern Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/67916-2017-18-season-difficult-to-predict
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Wetter conditions would generally be favorable for maize in southern Africa, reducing the chance of a regional shortfall that would need imports. The uncertainty keeps the price implications small for now.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-12-27 | [Big Lessons Learned During 2019 Crop Season - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55432-big-lessons-learned-during-2019-crop-season-proag.md) | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2018-01-01 | [The 2018 Illinois Corn Crop at Mid-Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66845-the-2018-illinois-corn-crop-at-mid-season.md) | +0.3% | +2.5% |
| CORN | 2019-01-23 | [Lessons learned from the 2018 growing season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60953-lessons-learned-from-the-2018-growing-season.md) | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2021-11-05 | [Iowa Press \| 11/5/2021 \| Agricultural economics and climate \| Season 49 \| Episode 4912 \| Iowa PBS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13406-iowa-press-11-5-2021-agricultural-economics-and-climate-season-49-episode-4912.md) | +4.3% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +0.2% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- zimbabwesituation.com: https://www.zimbabwesituation.com/news/201718-season-difficult-to-predict/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.