# Multi-year La Niña presents opportunity to predict drought impacts out to 2 years

> NOAA-funded studies from the University of Texas at Austin predict that the current La Niña will likely last into a second year. The research finds La Niña's effect on southern US drought strengthens in the second year of a two-year event. The work is aimed at forecasting drought impacts years ahead.

- Date: 2017-11-17 · published 2017-11-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/67914-multi-year-la-nina-presents-opportunity-to-predict-drought-impacts-out-to-2
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Better drought forecasts help markets judge the risk to US southern crops and winter grazing over the coming years. The study itself is a research finding and does not change current supply.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-09-10 | [La Niña Redux and the Present Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44992-la-nina-redux-and-the-present-drought.md) | +1.1% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2021-04-23 | [Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time \| US CLIVAR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47528-predicting-the-duration-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-events-with-multiyear-lead-time.md) | +10.5% | +8.1% |
| CORN | 2018-02-01 | [More U.S. drought in a second-year La Niña? \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66419-more-u-s-drought-in-a-second-year-la-nina-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.6% | +2.1% |
| CORN | 2022-06-09 | [La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40859-la-nina-is-forecast-to-impact-global-agriculture-for-a-third-year-in-a-row.md) | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| CORN | 2025-09-15 | [La Niña looms over Brazil, raising fears of drought in the South](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13474-la-nina-looms-over-brazil-raising-fears-of-drought-in-the-south.md) | +5.1% | +2.8% |
| SOY | 2021-09-10 | [La Niña Redux and the Present Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44992-la-nina-redux-and-the-present-drought.md) | +3.0% | -0.9% |
| SOY | 2021-04-23 | [Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time \| US CLIVAR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47528-predicting-the-duration-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-events-with-multiyear-lead-time.md) | +0.6% | 0.0% |
| SOY | 2022-06-09 | [La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40859-la-nina-is-forecast-to-impact-global-agriculture-for-a-third-year-in-a-row.md) | -2.7% | -6.3% |

## Sources

- cpo.noaa.gov: https://cpo.noaa.gov/Multi-year-La-Ni241a-presents-opportunity-to-predict-drought-impacts-out-to-2-years/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.