# ABS says variation in crop estimates is normal | Farm Online | ACT

> The Australian Bureau of Statistics says variation between its preliminary 2016-17 wheat estimate of 30.35 million tonnes and ABARES's 35 million tonnes is normal due to differing methodologies. Farm groups argue that limited cooperation with stocks surveys makes it hard for the market to gauge supply accurately.

- Date: 2018-01-22 · published 2018-01-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/66945-abs-says-variation-in-crop-estimates-is-normal-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent doubts about Australian supply data can keep wheat price discovery uncertain, though the statement itself does not shift the physical balance.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-23 | [Northern crop pushes national production above last year \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27830-northern-crop-pushes-national-production-above-last-year-farm-online-act.md) | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-17 | [Record crop could lose 4.65mt according to estimate \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66944-record-crop-could-lose-4-65mt-according-to-estimate-farm-online-act.md) | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-13 | [USDA springs further surprise in crop report \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11740-usda-springs-further-surprise-in-crop-report-farm-online-act.md) | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-02 | [Cropping to lead the way in ag comeback \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54102-cropping-to-lead-the-way-in-ag-comeback-farm-online-act.md) | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-08 | [Winter crop of 46.1m tonnes strong for an El Nino season \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32666-winter-crop-of-46-1m-tonnes-strong-for-an-el-nino-season-farm-online-act.md) | -4.0% | +1.2% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/5178456/farmer-participation-an-issue-in-getting-accurate-estimates/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.