# NWS Outlook for First Half of 2018 – Illinois State Climatologist

> The Illinois State Climatologist summarizes the NWS first-half 2018 outlook, which expects La Niña to fade in spring into ENSO-neutral conditions. Illinois is forecast to see a higher chance of above-normal precipitation in February and February-March-April, with a higher chance of below-normal temperatures in spring.

- Date: 2018-01-18 · published 2018-01-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/66923-nws-outlook-for-first-half-of-2018-illinois-state-climatologist
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Wetter conditions could ease existing Illinois moisture deficits, which is mildly bearish for corn and soybean weather premiums, although flooding risk remains.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-11-01 | [November 2021 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13409-november-2021-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2019-03-13 | [Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia \| Viticulture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60013-climate-outlook-for-2019-growing-season-in-georgia-viticulture.md) | +4.3% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2017-07-12 | [El Niño Outlook for July 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69876-el-nino-outlook-for-july-2017.md) | -4.1% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2018-07-27 | [Look South, ENSO Forecasters! \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63937-look-south-enso-forecasters-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2019-03-13 | [Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia \| Viticulture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60013-climate-outlook-for-2019-growing-season-in-georgia-viticulture.md) | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| SOY | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.4% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- stateclimatologist.web.illinois.edu: https://stateclimatologist.web.illinois.edu/2018/01/18/nws-outlook-for-first-half-of-2018/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.