# For US Soybean Growers, Trade War Is Here

> DTN reports that USDA data show China raised soybean purchases from Brazil by 7.19 million mt in the first quarter of 2017-18 while cutting purchases from the US by 5.37 mmt. Tensions are rising over possible US steel and aluminum tariffs and a US intellectual property investigation into China, which China has vowed to answer.

- Date: 2018-01-16 · published 2018-01-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/66856-for-us-soybean-growers-trade-war-is-here
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Shifting Chinese buying toward Brazil and the threat of retaliatory tariffs weigh on US soybean export demand and prices, while supporting Brazilian export premiums.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- USDBRL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-11-12 | [U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62097-u-s-soybean-farmers-hang-on-for-dear-life-in-trump-s-china-trade-war.md) | +1.9% | +4.5% |
| SOY | 2019-03-14 | [Why U.S. growers are betting the farm on soybeans amid China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8266-why-u-s-growers-are-betting-the-farm-on-soybeans-amid-china-trade-war.md) | +1.9% | +1.5% |
| SOY | 2018-10-29 | [Soybean, pork farmers hurt most by trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62549-soybean-pork-farmers-hurt-most-by-trade-war.md) | +3.6% | +2.0% |
| SOY | 2018-12-03 | [Trump’s trade war sees US soybean exports heading south](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61762-trump-s-trade-war-sees-us-soybean-exports-heading-south.md) | +1.7% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2019-08-08 | [US-China trade war: Soybean farmers are working new markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57614-us-china-trade-war-soybean-farmers-are-working-new-markets.md) | +1.4% | +0.1% |
| SBM | 2019-03-14 | [Why U.S. growers are betting the farm on soybeans amid China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8266-why-u-s-growers-are-betting-the-farm-on-soybeans-amid-china-trade-war.md) | +3.8% | +3.3% |
| SBM | 2019-08-08 | [US-China trade war: Soybean farmers are working new markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57614-us-china-trade-war-soybean-farmers-are-working-new-markets.md) | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| SBM | 2018-08-01 | [Why Soybeans Are at the Heart of the U.S.-China Trade War](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64080-why-soybeans-are-at-the-heart-of-the-u-s-china-trade-war.md) | -2.5% | -11.9% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2018/01/16/us-soybean-growers-trade-war

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.