# Canadian Dollar's Correlation to Oil is Back, and this Could Spell Downside

> Barclays analysts say the historically strong correlation between oil and the Canadian dollar has returned after crude fell below $60 per barrel. USD/CAD reached 1.26 for the first time since November as WTI breached $60.

- Date: 2018-02-12 · published 2018-02-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/66729-canadian-dollar-s-correlation-to-oil-is-back-and-this-could-spell-downside
- Commodities: [Canadian Dollar (CAD per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDCAD.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Oil-linked currency moves affect the USD cost of Canadian feed commodities; with oil expected to stay low, the loonie may stay weak, which can support Canadian-origin canola meal competitiveness.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- USDCAD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2019-05-01 | [Canadian dollar weakens as Fed inflation view boosts greenback - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59324-canadian-dollar-weakens-as-fed-inflation-view-boosts-greenback-the-globe-and.md) | -3.8% | -7.6% |
| WTI | 2019-04-26 | [Canadian dollar rises as U.S. growth composition weighs on greenback - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59816-canadian-dollar-rises-as-u-s-growth-composition-weighs-on-greenback-the-globe.md) | -5.3% | -11.5% |
| WTI | 2022-03-31 | [Canadian dollar shrugs off the oil drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42501-canadian-dollar-shrugs-off-the-oil-drop.md) | -10.6% | -2.2% |
| WTI | 2022-10-31 | [Canadian dollar slips to six-day low as oil prices fall - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39347-canadian-dollar-slips-to-six-day-low-as-oil-prices-fall-the-globe-and-mail.md) | +5.4% | -12.2% |
| WTI | 2026-07-30 | [Canadian dollar rises to six-week high as greenback slides - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18588-canadian-dollar-rises-to-six-week-high-as-greenback-slides-the-globe-and-mail.md) | -10.1% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- poundsterlinglive.com: https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/cad/8507-the-canadian-dollar-s-correlation-to-oil-is-back-says-barclays

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.