# AAFC Canadian oats forecast called into question | World-grain.com | March 26, 2018 20:06 | World Grain

> Randy Strychar of Ag Commodity Research and Saskatchewan oat grower Shawna Mathieson both forecast Canadian oat plantings for 2018 will fall 2% to 5% or about 5.5% from 2017, disputing AAFC's March 22 projection of a 2% rise to 1.325 million hectares. Strychar noted that 975,000 tonnes of oats will carry into 2018-19, up from 703,000 tonnes a year earlier.

- Date: 2018-03-26 · published 2018-03-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/66045-aafc-canadian-oats-forecast-called-into-question-world-grain-com-march-26-2018
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

A large carry-in stock points to continued pressure on oat prices, while smaller plantings would tighten supply later. The conflicting forecasts leave the size of the 2018 Canadian crop uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2017-03-14 | [Canada to plant as much as 13% more oats \| World-grain.com \| March 14, 2017 12:35 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8399-canada-to-plant-as-much-as-13-more-oats-world-grain-com-march-14-2017-12-35.md) | -7.0% | -19.7% |
| OATS | 2017-03-13 | [Canada to plant as much as 13% more oats \| Bakingbusiness.com \| March 13, 2017 19:40 \| Baking Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8398-canada-to-plant-as-much-as-13-more-oats-bakingbusiness-com-march-13-2017-19-40.md) | -7.3% | -19.7% |
| OATS | 2022-12-20 | [AAFC Forecasts Oat Stocks to Swell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38289-aafc-forecasts-oat-stocks-to-swell.md) | +11.2% | +10.5% |
| OATS | 2023-09-12 | [StatCan expected to raise estimate for oats production - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34164-statcan-expected-to-raise-estimate-for-oats-production-grainews.md) | -3.4% | -10.5% |
| OATS | 2019-07-30 | [Milling oats an option for paddocks with crown rot - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58138-milling-oats-an-option-for-paddocks-with-crown-rot-grain-central.md) | +2.7% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/9591-aafc-canadian-oats-forecast-called-into-question

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.