# Iran war fertiliser squeeze could spell trouble for next year's grain harvests

> Fertilizer prices have risen sharply since the war with Iran began in late February, with urea showing the largest spike. The conflict has removed roughly one-third of globally traded volumes typically exported from the Gulf.

- Date: 2026-10-22 · published 2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/659-iran-war-fertiliser-squeeze-could-spell-trouble-for-next-year-s-grain-harvests
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Higher nitrogen costs may reduce fertilizer application and tighten grain supply next year, supporting corn and wheat prices and feed input costs.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-03-26 | [Fertiliser companies dig in for hard times amid Russia-Ukraine war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42573-fertiliser-companies-dig-in-for-hard-times-amid-russia-ukraine-war.md) | +8.1% | -4.2% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [Fertiliser costs are soaring amid war in the Middle East. Will your grocery bill follow?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6256-fertiliser-costs-are-soaring-amid-war-in-the-middle-east-will-your-grocery-bill.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-07-02 | [Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18269-iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis-ifpri.md) | +2.7% | +12.1% |
| UREA | 2020-06-06 | [From the Persian Gulf to the granaries of Lithuania: the war in Iran threatens a price shock for food and fertiliser - Agrobitė](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52545-from-the-persian-gulf-to-the-granaries-of-lithuania-the-war-in-iran-threatens-a.md) | +1.3% | +7.1% |
| CORN | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +2.4% | +4.6% |
| CORN | 2026-07-02 | [Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18269-iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis-ifpri.md) | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2026-04-01 | [The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19643-the-iran-war-s-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production.md) | -1.7% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/iran-war-fertiliser-squeeze-could-spell-trouble-next-years-grain-harvests-2026-04-27/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.