# In Trade War, U.S. Soy May Be Safe - Rabobank - AgriBusiness Global

> Rabobank's report 'If China Strikes Back' argues that China's dependence on U.S. soybeans may limit its ability to impose tariffs on them. It estimates that a 100 million bushel cut in U.S. soybean imports would lower U.S. farm prices by 4% to 5% in the very short run, and that soybean acreage could shift toward corn.

- Date: 2018-04-10 · published 2018-04-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/65548-in-trade-war-u-s-soy-may-be-safe-rabobank-agribusiness-global
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A lost Chinese outlet would pressure U.S. soybean prices and push acreage toward corn, which would weigh on soybean meal and add supply to corn.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-05-02 | [China Seen Jolting Soybean Market by Shunning U.S. Supplies - AgriBusiness Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65056-china-seen-jolting-soybean-market-by-shunning-u-s-supplies-agribusiness-global.md) | -3.0% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2018-07-10 | [Global trade war to be a boon for Black Sea grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63884-global-trade-war-to-be-a-boon-for-black-sea-grain.md) | -2.6% | +3.0% |
| SOY | 2020-11-19 | [U.S. Soybean Prices Crumble as Trade War Sparks Brazil Rally - Pork Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50180-u-s-soybean-prices-crumble-as-trade-war-sparks-brazil-rally-pork-business.md) | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2018-07-23 | [Crushing it! – Promising Outlook for US Soy Crush Despite Trade War - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64105-crushing-it-promising-outlook-for-us-soy-crush-despite-trade-war-rabobank.md) | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| SOY | 2018-09-28 | [Soybean update from around the globe - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63104-soybean-update-from-around-the-globe-food-and-agribusiness.md) | +0.5% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2026-10-09 | [China Needs $1.2B/Week in U.S. Ag Buys to Hit Trade Deal — Agribusiness Wire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14540-china-needs-1-2b-week-in-u-s-ag-buys-to-hit-trade-deal-agribusiness-wire.md) | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| CORN | 2020-12-01 | [Global Trade War a Boon for Black Sea Grain \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49509-global-trade-war-a-boon-for-black-sea-grain-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| CORN | 2018-06-05 | [Have we posted highs in the grain market? \| Iowa Agribusiness Radio Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6751-have-we-posted-highs-in-the-grain-market-iowa-agribusiness-radio-network.md) | -3.0% | -8.0% |

## Sources

- agribusinessglobal.com: https://www.agribusinessglobal.com/markets/in-trade-war-u-s-soy-may-be-safe-rabobank/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.