# Weather, politics remain unpredictable as winter sowing nears - Grain Central

> Grain Central commentary says many Australian cropping regions lack enough moisture for a wide-scale sowing start around ANZAC Day. The Bureau of Meteorology outlook gives most regions a 50% chance of above-median rain from May to July, supported by a likely negative Indian Ocean Dipole.

- Date: 2018-04-16 · published 2018-04-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/65451-weather-politics-remain-unpredictable-as-winter-sowing-nears-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A better-than-expected rain outlook for Australian winter cropping supports the view of adequate supply later in the season, which tempers wheat and barley price upside.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-14 | [Weather models point to possible La Nina in spring - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53051-weather-models-point-to-possible-la-nina-in-spring-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-27 | [Favorable weather is facilitating winter grain sowing in Europe](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22341-favorable-weather-is-facilitating-winter-grain-sowing-in-europe.md) | +3.8% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-09 | [Most growers near halfway on winter planting - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41372-most-growers-near-halfway-on-winter-planting-grain-central.md) | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-29 | [Southern winter crop off to a promising start - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59062-southern-winter-crop-off-to-a-promising-start-grain-central.md) | +9.6% | +15.3% |
| WHEAT | 2018-04-25 | [El Niño–Southern Oscillation likely to remain neutral through winter - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65447-el-nino-southern-oscillation-likely-to-remain-neutral-through-winter-grain.md) | +3.5% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/markets/weather-politics-remain-unpredictable-as-winter-sowing-nears/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.