# EUR/USD: Only 3 Big Figures Of Risk-Premium Priced In; Scope For Lower Extension - BTMU - Forex Crunch

> BTMU Research estimates about three big figures of risk premium are priced into EUR/USD following Italian political developments. The bank says the move could extend lower, as leveraged short euro positions remain low.

- Date: 2018-05-30 · published 2018-05-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/65219-eur-usd-only-3-big-figures-of-risk-premium-priced-in-scope-for-lower-extension
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast of further euro downside supports a stronger dollar, which can weigh on dollar-denominated grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2021-05-27 | [EUR/USD: Recent shifts in ECB and Fed rhetoric are bearish for the euro - MUFG - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47298-eur-usd-recent-shifts-in-ecb-and-fed-rhetoric-are-bearish-for-the-euro-mufg.md) | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| EURUSD | 2018-08-10 | [It took Turkey to send EUR/USD to new 2018 lows - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11067-it-took-turkey-to-send-eur-usd-to-new-2018-lows-forex-crunch.md) | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2016-11-16 | [EUR/USD: Justifiably Weaker On 2 Factors - Barclays - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9130-eur-usd-justifiably-weaker-on-2-factors-barclays-forex-crunch.md) | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2018-01-29 | [EUR/USD suffers from taper talk, USD recovery - it may be temporary - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67191-eur-usd-suffers-from-taper-talk-usd-recovery-it-may-be-temporary-forex-crunch.md) | +0.2% | -1.0% |
| EURUSD | 2021-02-26 | [EUR/USD set to end the week on a sour note, drops sharply back below 1.2100 - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9591-eur-usd-set-to-end-the-week-on-a-sour-note-drops-sharply-back-below-1-2100.md) | -1.5% | -3.7% |
| DXY | 2019-12-04 | [USD: Risk Of A USD Spike Into Year-End On A Sharp Rise In Net USD Demand - Citi - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55757-usd-risk-of-a-usd-spike-into-year-end-on-a-sharp-rise-in-net-usd-demand-citi.md) | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| DXY | 2021-05-27 | [EUR/USD: Recent shifts in ECB and Fed rhetoric are bearish for the euro - MUFG - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47298-eur-usd-recent-shifts-in-ecb-and-fed-rhetoric-are-bearish-for-the-euro-mufg.md) | +0.3% | +1.3% |
| DXY | 2018-08-10 | [It took Turkey to send EUR/USD to new 2018 lows - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11067-it-took-turkey-to-send-eur-usd-to-new-2018-lows-forex-crunch.md) | +1.1% | +1.1% |

## Sources

- forexcrunch.com: https://www.forexcrunch.com/blog/2018/05/30/eur-usd-only-3-big-figures-of-risk-premium-priced-in-scope-for-lower-extension-btmu/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.