# Long Range Weather Forecasts are Getting Better | USDA Climate Hubs

> A USDA Climate Hubs article explains that numerical weather forecasts have improved by about a day per decade, so a seven-day forecast today is about as accurate as a one-day forecast in the 1950s. It highlights NOAA Climate Prediction Center work on forecasting El Niño and La Niña beyond seven days.

- Date: 2018-05-05 · published 2018-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/64964-long-range-weather-forecasts-are-getting-better-usda-climate-hubs
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Better long-range forecasts help grain and feed buyers plan purchases, but the article does not itself describe a supply shock or price move.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-01-31 | [Jet stream impacts long-range weather forecast - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66930-jet-stream-impacts-long-range-weather-forecast-high-plains-journal.md) | +0.3% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2020-10-26 | [Africa climate change report reveals heat rising north and south, Sahel getting wetter \| UN News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50565-africa-climate-change-report-reveals-heat-rising-north-and-south-sahel-getting.md) | +0.3% | +10.2% |
| CORN | 2016-12-09 | [Long-term forecasters rethinking weather prediction methods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73406-long-term-forecasters-rethinking-weather-prediction-methods.md) | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2018-03-13 | [Climate and Extreme Weather Events Taking a Toll on Specialty Crops in the Midwest \| USDA Climate Hubs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65849-climate-and-extreme-weather-events-taking-a-toll-on-specialty-crops-in-the.md) | -1.8% | +2.8% |
| CORN | 2026-06-26 | [Corn: Dry weather forecasts drive up corn prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18832-corn-dry-weather-forecasts-drive-up-corn-prices.md) | -1.3% | +5.3% |
| SOY | 2018-03-13 | [Climate and Extreme Weather Events Taking a Toll on Specialty Crops in the Midwest \| USDA Climate Hubs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65849-climate-and-extreme-weather-events-taking-a-toll-on-specialty-crops-in-the.md) | -1.0% | +1.6% |
| SOY | 2016-12-09 | [Long-term forecasters rethinking weather prediction methods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73406-long-term-forecasters-rethinking-weather-prediction-methods.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2022-04-21 | [How are weather patterns shaping up for 2022?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41773-how-are-weather-patterns-shaping-up-for-2022.md) | -1.2% | -4.8% |

## Sources

- climatehubs.usda.gov: https://www.climatehubs.usda.gov/hubs/northeast/news/long-range-weather-forecasts-are-getting-better

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.