# SunSirs: Excess Supply Continues to Restrict Urea Price Recovery

> Chinese urea inventories remain high, with the current decline mainly reflecting transfers to downstream stocks or port gatherings for export. India's urea tender is expected to lift exports, while domestic orders have stabilized prices. Urea production loads have slipped slightly as year-end approaches.

- Date: 2025-12-26 · published 2025-12-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6496-sunsirs-excess-supply-continues-to-restrict-urea-price-recovery
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Excess Chinese supply and expected Indian import demand set the near-term urea price range, limiting rebound potential. Export flows from China and India shape global nitrogen costs that flow through to feed-grain production economics.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-01-03 | [Global grain demand continues to match supply \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11608-global-grain-demand-continues-to-match-supply-the-western-producer.md) | -0.3% | +4.7% |
| CORN | 2020-08-10 | [Profercy World Nitrogen Index registers large gains as urea prices continue to ramp up](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51542-profercy-world-nitrogen-index-registers-large-gains-as-urea-prices-continue-to.md) | +4.0% | +9.0% |
| CORN | 2022-08-18 | [Farmers’ voices continue to reiterate ag trade issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40023-farmers-voices-continue-to-reiterate-ag-trade-issues.md) | +0.4% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2024-01-29 | [Urea Prices Set to Pick Up as Potash, Ammonia Dip \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32050-urea-prices-set-to-pick-up-as-potash-ammonia-dip-cz-app.md) | -0.7% | -7.2% |
| CORN | 2025-12-03 | [Barley Export Prices in Ukraine Surge Amid Limited Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12531-barley-export-prices-in-ukraine-surge-amid-limited-supply.md) | +0.7% | -0.4% |

## Sources

- sunsirs.com: https://www.sunsirs.com/commodity-news/petail-29172.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.