# El Nino May Be Back by Winter - Bloomberg

> Bloomberg reports a 64% chance that El Niño will develop from December to February, up from 49% previously. The weather-changing event could arrive in time for winter.

- Date: 2018-06-14 · published 2018-06-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/64461-el-nino-may-be-back-by-winter-bloomberg
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A winter El Niño would raise the risk of drought in Australia, Southeast Asia and parts of South America, potentially lifting prices for oilseeds and palm oil. The effect on feed prices is still speculative this early.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-12-14 | [El Nino is back – and may stick around](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61499-el-nino-is-back-and-may-stick-around.md) | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2019-12-02 | [Hints of El Nino in Early Winter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55503-hints-of-el-nino-in-early-winter.md) | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2017-03-09 | [El Nino may arrive this summer and fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71912-el-nino-may-arrive-this-summer-and-fall.md) | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2021-12-01 | [Winter 2021-22: La Nina Sequel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43521-winter-2021-22-la-nina-sequel.md) | +8.0% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2018-12-14 | [El Nino is back – and may stick around](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61499-el-nino-is-back-and-may-stick-around.md) | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| SOY | 2019-12-02 | [Hints of El Nino in Early Winter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55503-hints-of-el-nino-in-early-winter.md) | +1.5% | +7.2% |
| SOY | 2017-03-09 | [El Nino may arrive this summer and fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71912-el-nino-may-arrive-this-summer-and-fall.md) | -1.3% | -6.6% |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-14/get-ready-commodities-traders-el-nino-may-be-back-by-winter

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.