# Final countdown - last U.S. soybean cargo heads for China before tariff jump

> Reuters reports that the last U.S. soybean cargo is heading to China ahead of a 25% extra import duty on more than 500 U.S. goods, including soybeans, that takes effect July 6. Beijing's move responds to Washington's plan to tariff $50 billion of Chinese goods.

- Date: 2018-06-29 · published 2018-06-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/64393-final-countdown-last-u-s-soybean-cargo-heads-for-china-before-tariff-jump
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Buyers are rushing to ship before the duty applies, so U.S. soybean export demand to China is likely to fall sharply after the deadline, pressuring soybean and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-07-05 | 1 | +4.6% | 4.5 | The last US soybean cargo heading to China before the July 6 duty meant the trade-flow shock was fully priced, so short-covering and position squaring could drive a sharp bounce. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-05-28 | [China halted U.S. soybean & corn imports before Trump tariff war – China Environment News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14664-china-halted-u-s-soybean-and-corn-imports-before-trump-tariff-war-china.md) | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| SOY | 2025-04-20 | [China halted orders for U.S. soybeans and corn before tariff escalation - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14667-china-halted-orders-for-u-s-soybeans-and-corn-before-tariff-escalation-nikkei.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2026-09-30 | [China's weak soybean demand dims prospects for US cargoes after tariff snub \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14544-china-s-weak-soybean-demand-dims-prospects-for-us-cargoes-after-tariff-snub.md) | +0.4% | -5.3% |
| SOY | 2018-03-29 | [Chinese soybean tariffs would hurt U.S. soybean farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65865-chinese-soybean-tariffs-would-hurt-u-s-soybean-farmers.md) | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| SOY | 2018-11-12 | [U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62097-u-s-soybean-farmers-hang-on-for-dear-life-in-trump-s-china-trade-war.md) | +1.9% | +4.5% |
| SBM | 2026-09-30 | [China's weak soybean demand dims prospects for US cargoes after tariff snub \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14544-china-s-weak-soybean-demand-dims-prospects-for-us-cargoes-after-tariff-snub.md) | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| SBM | 2018-03-29 | [Chinese soybean tariffs would hurt U.S. soybean farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65865-chinese-soybean-tariffs-would-hurt-u-s-soybean-farmers.md) | +3.3% | +2.1% |
| SBM | 2018-06-16 | [China hikes tariffs on US soybeans, electric cars, fish \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64396-china-hikes-tariffs-on-us-soybeans-electric-cars-fish-ap-news.md) | +0.1% | -2.9% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-trade-china-soybeans/final-countdown-last-us-soybean-cargo-heads-for-china-before-tariff-jump-idUSL4N1TU3PH/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.