# Soybean bulls and bears both watching China and trade talks

> Soybean market participants are weighing signals from renewed U.S.-China trade talks, with bulls citing a possible headline lift and rumored cargoes of U.S. soybeans reaching China. An Oil World representative expects China will eventually need about 13 million tonnes more U.S. soybeans, but warned that without a deal the market could turn more bearish into early 2019.

- Date: 2018-08-17 · published 2018-08-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/63616-soybean-bulls-and-bears-both-watching-china-and-trade-talks
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Expectations of Chinese purchases underpin soybean prices, while lack of a trade deal raises the risk of lower prices and reduced U.S. soybean acreage.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-04-08 | [As U.S. and China trade tariff barbs, others scoop up U.S. soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65547-as-u-s-and-china-trade-tariff-barbs-others-scoop-up-u-s-soybeans.md) | +2.0% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2019-06-28 | [Propelled by U.S. Trade Talks, China Charts a Course to Soybean Security](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58483-propelled-by-u-s-trade-talks-china-charts-a-course-to-soybean-security.md) | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| SOY | 2024-11-30 | [CISCE: Sustainable soybean trade will benefit both China and the United States--China Economic Net](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14706-cisce-sustainable-soybean-trade-will-benefit-both-china-and-the-united-states.md) | +0.4% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2025-11-08 | [Here’s what the U.S.-China trade truce really means for the U.S. soybean market — and for farmers - MarketWatch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12248-here-s-what-the-u-s-china-trade-truce-really-means-for-the-u-s-soybean-market.md) | +1.0% | -0.7% |
| SOY | 2019-10-18 | [After trade talks in U.S., China ramps up Brazilian soy purchases](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56428-after-trade-talks-in-u-s-china-ramps-up-brazilian-soy-purchases.md) | +0.2% | -3.4% |
| SBM | 2018-03-26 | [Corn and Beans Lower On China Trade Talk.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66033-corn-and-beans-lower-on-china-trade-talk.md) | -0.2% | -1.6% |
| SBM | 2026-10-26 | [China’s Soybean Buying Picks Up, But a Tariff Wall Still Blocks Full Trade Recovery](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14538-china-s-soybean-buying-picks-up-but-a-tariff-wall-still-blocks-full-trade.md) | -3.6% | — |
| SBM | 2018-11-12 | [U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62097-u-s-soybean-farmers-hang-on-for-dear-life-in-trump-s-china-trade-war.md) | +1.7% | +1.1% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/marketing/soybean-bulls-and-bears-both-watching-china-and-trade-talks

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.