# Trump's Farmer Bailout: Half Now, the Rest Later – Maybe

> USDA will pay the trade-damage aid in installments, with half in the fall and the rest in December or early 2019 if needed. The $6.2 billion in outlays starting in September includes $3.6 billion for soybean growers and equals half of USDA's estimate of trade impacts.

- Date: 2018-08-28 · published 2018-08-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/63526-trump-s-farmer-bailout-half-now-the-rest-later-maybe
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Payments equal to roughly half of estimated losses leave a residual gap for farmers, which may keep acreage and marketing decisions cautious and prolong pressure on soybean prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-08-27 | [Trump farm bailout to provide $6 billion in initial relief](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63524-trump-farm-bailout-to-provide-6-billion-in-initial-relief.md) | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| SOY | 2019-12-04 | [Trump’s $28 Billion Trade War Bailout Is Overpaying Farmers - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55567-trump-s-28-billion-trade-war-bailout-is-overpaying-farmers-bloomberg.md) | +3.5% | +8.4% |
| SOY | 2020-07-14 | [‘Here’s your check’: Trump’s massive payouts to farmers will be hard to pull back - POLITICO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52099-here-s-your-check-trump-s-massive-payouts-to-farmers-will-be-hard-to-pull-back.md) | +3.0% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2018-07-24 | [US to give farmers $12bn trade war bailout](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64018-us-to-give-farmers-12bn-trade-war-bailout.md) | +3.2% | +4.0% |
| SOY | 2025-04-09 | [US Weighs Farmer Bailout as China Threatens Retaliation - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25113-us-weighs-farmer-bailout-as-china-threatens-retaliation-bloomberg.md) | +4.4% | +3.8% |
| CORN | 2018-08-27 | [Trump farm bailout to provide $6 billion in initial relief](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63524-trump-farm-bailout-to-provide-6-billion-in-initial-relief.md) | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2019-12-04 | [Trump’s $28 Billion Trade War Bailout Is Overpaying Farmers - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55567-trump-s-28-billion-trade-war-bailout-is-overpaying-farmers-bloomberg.md) | -3.9% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2020-07-14 | [‘Here’s your check’: Trump’s massive payouts to farmers will be hard to pull back - POLITICO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52099-here-s-your-check-trump-s-massive-payouts-to-farmers-will-be-hard-to-pull-back.md) | -1.1% | -3.2% |

## Sources

- agriculture.com: https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/trump-s-farmer-bailout-half-now-the-rest-later-maybe

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.