# South Australia predicts reduced wheat crop of 3.95Mt - Grain Central

> PIRSA's July report forecasts South Australian wheat at 3.95Mt, below the five-year average of 4.91Mt, on a 15% area cut and dry autumn conditions. The state barley forecast of 1.80Mt is also below its five-year average of 2.08Mt.

- Date: 2018-08-01 · published 2018-08-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/63506-south-australia-predicts-reduced-wheat-crop-of-3-95mt-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower South Australian wheat and barley output adds to the national shortfall and supports Australian feed grain prices. Export buyers may need to source more from Western Australia or overseas.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-17 | [South Australia estimates winter crop at 6.25Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55029-south-australia-estimates-winter-crop-at-6-25mt-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-13 | [Dry prompts ABARES to tip reduced Australian crop size - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68399-dry-prompts-abares-to-tip-reduced-australian-crop-size-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-11 | [INTL FCStone predicts wheat will slip below 15Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55531-intl-fcstone-predicts-wheat-will-slip-below-15mt-grain-central.md) | +2.6% | +4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-28 | [Australia Wheat Crop Headed for Double-Digit Decline, Gro Model Predicts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35014-australia-wheat-crop-headed-for-double-digit-decline-gro-model-predicts.md) | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-28 | [How big will Western Australia's wheat crop be? - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40444-how-big-will-western-australia-s-wheat-crop-be-grain-price-news.md) | +4.6% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/cropping/south-australia-predicts-reduced-wheat-crop-of-3-95mt/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.