# India's monsoon rain forecast cut, farm output seen at risk | The Star

> Private forecaster Skymet cut its India monsoon forecast to 92% of the long-period average, down from 100%, and expects a prolonged weak phase in August. The India Meteorological Department has forecast 97% rainfall, and the first half of the season was already 6% below normal.

- Date: 2018-08-01 · published 2018-08-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/63497-india-s-monsoon-rain-forecast-cut-farm-output-seen-at-risk-the-star
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A weak monsoon threatens Indian kharif crops such as rice and pulses, which could tighten Asian rice supplies and lift prices, while also raising domestic food inflation.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-06-02 | [India cuts foodgrains output target amid below normal monsoon forecast - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18741-india-cuts-foodgrains-output-target-amid-below-normal-monsoon-forecast-the.md) | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| RICE | 2019-08-14 | [What The Current Late Monsoon Rainfalls Mean For India’s Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57554-what-the-current-late-monsoon-rainfalls-mean-for-india-s-agriculture.md) | -4.1% | +3.4% |
| RICE | 2026-05-29 | [India Cuts Monsoon Outlook to 90% of Normal in Risk to Crops \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19228-india-cuts-monsoon-outlook-to-90-of-normal-in-risk-to-crops-financial-post.md) | -1.7% | +2.3% |
| RICE | 2023-08-28 | [India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years -sources](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34477-india-on-track-for-lowest-monsoon-rains-in-8-years-sources.md) | +6.2% | +1.1% |
| RICE | 2024-08-29 | [Prolonged Monsoon Rains Threaten India’s Crop Outlook \| Headlines](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28729-prolonged-monsoon-rains-threaten-india-s-crop-outlook-headlines.md) | +2.3% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- thestar.com.my: https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/08/02/indias-monsoon-rain-forecast-cut-farm-output-seen-at-risk/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.