# Cattle Crash on Fear of MX Border Reopening: Grains See Profit Taking as CA Talks Off - AgWeb

> Feeder cattle futures gapped lower and quickly hit limit-down after reports that Mexico's agriculture minister would discuss reopening the US border to Mexican feeder cattle. Grains were slightly lower on profit taking as China talks were called off.

- Date: 2025-10-24 · published 2025-10-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Mexico · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6342-cattle-crash-on-fear-of-mx-border-reopening-grains-see-profit-taking-as-ca
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Reopening the border would add large Mexican feeder supply, the most bearish factor for cattle prices, while the cancelled China talks weigh on grain demand expectations.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- FCATTLE: bearish ▼
- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-10-26 | 5 | -7.4% | -4.2 | On Oct 24 feeder futures gapped to limit-down on reports Mexico would discuss reopening the border to feeder cattle, which would add supply and directly drove the weekly decline. |
| LCATTLE | 2025-10-26 | 5 | -3.1% | -2.8 | Feeder cattle gapped to limit-down on Oct 24 after reports of border reopening talks, adding supply-expectation pressure that spilled into live cattle. |
| LCATTLE | 2025-10-28 | 5 | -3.8% | -3.1 | Reports that Mexico's border might reopen to feeder cattle raised supply fears and sent futures limit-down on Oct 24. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-10-24 | [Fears of Mexico border reopening cap a brutal week for the cattle market - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22526-fears-of-mexico-border-reopening-cap-a-brutal-week-for-the-cattle-market-pro.md) | -4.4% | -6.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-09-01 | [Cattle Prices Sink as Mexico Border Reopening Shakes U.S. Beef Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17849-cattle-prices-sink-as-mexico-border-reopening-shakes-u-s-beef-markets.md) | +2.3% | +3.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-04-02 | [Cattle futures climb on grilling demand, potential border reopening - CME
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10274-cattle-futures-climb-on-grilling-demand-potential-border-reopening-cme-the.md) | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-10-27 | [Cattle Market Tumbles as Mexico Seeks to Reopen Border to Live Cattle Trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22363-cattle-market-tumbles-as-mexico-seeks-to-reopen-border-to-live-cattle-trade.md) | -4.4% | -11.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-07-29 | [USDA Reopens Border to Mexican Cattle Amid Screwworm Fight](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18297-usda-reopens-border-to-mexican-cattle-amid-screwworm-fight.md) | +2.4% | -2.7% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-10-24 | [Fears of Mexico border reopening cap a brutal week for the cattle market - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22526-fears-of-mexico-border-reopening-cap-a-brutal-week-for-the-cattle-market-pro.md) | -1.3% | -8.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-09-01 | [Cattle Prices Sink as Mexico Border Reopening Shakes U.S. Beef Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17849-cattle-prices-sink-as-mexico-border-reopening-shakes-u-s-beef-markets.md) | -1.8% | -0.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-10-27 | [Cattle Market Tumbles as Mexico Seeks to Reopen Border to Live Cattle Trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22363-cattle-market-tumbles-as-mexico-seeks-to-reopen-border-to-live-cattle-trade.md) | +0.2% | -7.2% |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/markets/market-analysis/cattle-crash-fear-mx-border-reopening-grains-see-profit-taking-ca-talks

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.