# Inside China's strategy in the soybean trade war

> China is reportedly confident it can reduce its reliance on U.S. soybeans by cutting soymeal rations for hogs from about 20% to 12%, a change that could reduce demand by up to 27 million tonnes a year. The 25% Chinese tariff on U.S. soybeans is accelerating this push.

- Date: 2018-09-20 · published 2018-09-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/63015-inside-china-s-strategy-in-the-soybean-trade-war
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A sustained cut in China's soymeal inclusion would structurally reduce import demand for U.S. soybeans and soymeal, pressuring U.S. soybean and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-12-27 | [Inside China's strategy in the soybean trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61593-inside-china-s-strategy-in-the-soybean-trade-war.md) | +3.5% | +6.4% |
| SOY | 2018-08-01 | [Why Soybeans Are at the Heart of the U.S.-China Trade War](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64080-why-soybeans-are-at-the-heart-of-the-u-s-china-trade-war.md) | -1.6% | -9.2% |
| SOY | 2025-12-01 | [How the Lowly Soybean Got Trapped in the Crossfire of the U.S.-China Trade Wars](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21983-how-the-lowly-soybean-got-trapped-in-the-crossfire-of-the-u-s-china-trade-wars.md) | -2.9% | -7.8% |
| SOY | 2018-11-12 | [U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62097-u-s-soybean-farmers-hang-on-for-dear-life-in-trump-s-china-trade-war.md) | +1.9% | +4.5% |
| SOY | 2019-11-06 | [Panamax rates slide as trade war bites into US soybean exports to China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56287-panamax-rates-slide-as-trade-war-bites-into-us-soybean-exports-to-china.md) | -1.7% | -4.7% |
| SBM | 2018-12-27 | [Inside China's strategy in the soybean trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61593-inside-china-s-strategy-in-the-soybean-trade-war.md) | +3.1% | +3.5% |
| SBM | 2018-08-01 | [Why Soybeans Are at the Heart of the U.S.-China Trade War](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64080-why-soybeans-are-at-the-heart-of-the-u-s-china-trade-war.md) | -2.5% | -11.9% |
| SBM | 2025-12-01 | [How the Lowly Soybean Got Trapped in the Crossfire of the U.S.-China Trade Wars](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21983-how-the-lowly-soybean-got-trapped-in-the-crossfire-of-the-u-s-china-trade-wars.md) | -2.5% | -4.4% |

## Sources

- cnbc.com: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/20/inside-chinas-strategy-in-the-soybean-trade-war.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.