# El Niño Return Could Negatively Affect South Africa’s Summer Crops | Wandile Sihlobo

> The IRI and Australian Bureau of Meteorology indicate a 50-60%+ chance of El Niño developing in the 2018-19 summer season. The South African Weather Service forecasts dryness from October to December, overlapping with summer crop planting, and the country's rainfall has trended lower since 2010.

- Date: 2018-09-22 · published 2018-09-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region South Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62951-el-nino-return-could-negatively-affect-south-africa-s-summer-crops-wandile
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Dry weather during South Africa's summer planting could reduce maize and other summer crop output, which would tighten southern African supplies and support regional feed grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-08-26 | [Column: La Nina's return could threaten South American crops, again](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45427-column-la-nina-s-return-could-threaten-south-american-crops-again.md) | -4.6% | -11.0% |
| CORN | 2019-06-15 | [Weak El Niño could continue through summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58502-weak-el-nino-could-continue-through-summer.md) | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| CORN | 2020-11-17 | [#Agbiz: East African, South American crops at risk with La Niña \| OFM](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50068-agbiz-east-african-south-american-crops-at-risk-with-la-nina-ofm.md) | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2026-10-07 | [El Niño weather extremes worsen food security in East Africa and Central America and threaten next season crops in Southern Africa and South America - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17047-el-nino-weather-extremes-worsen-food-security-in-east-africa-and-central.md) | -2.4% | -6.1% |
| CORN | 2021-09-09 | [La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44986-la-nina-development-has-potential-to-affect-crops-in-us-south-america.md) | +1.3% | -2.3% |

## Sources

- wandilesihlobo.com: https://wandilesihlobo.com/2018/09/22/el-nino-return-could-negatively-affect-south-africas-summer-crops/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.