# WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (September 2018) - World | ReliefWeb

> The WMO said there is a 70% chance of El Niño developing by the end of 2018, with intensity uncertain and a strong event considered unlikely. The agency noted that 2018 began with a weak La Niña and that global temperatures are tracking toward one of the warmest years on record.

- Date: 2018-09-10 · published 2018-09-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62947-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-september-2018-world-reliefweb
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A 70% chance of El Niño is a weather risk for Australian, Southeast Asian and South American crops, but WMO expects a weaker event than 2015-16, which limits the likely size of supply disruption and price impact.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-05-29 | [WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18730-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2026-world-reliefweb.md) | +0.6% | -2.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-04-28 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 28 April 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71424-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-28-april-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | +0.7% | +4.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | -0.5% | -4.3% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-26 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17828-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2026.md) | +5.4% | +1.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-09-19 | [El Niño looming \| 2018-09-19 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62946-el-nino-looming-2018-09-19-world-grain.md) | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-28 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 28 April 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71424-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-28-april-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-01 | [September 2022 La Niña update: it’s Q & A time](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39501-september-2022-la-nina-update-it-s-q-and-a-time.md) | -0.1% | -11.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | +1.0% | +0.0% |

## Sources

- reliefweb.int: https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wmo-el-ni-ola-ni-update-september-2018

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.