# Future impacts of El Niño, La Niña likely to intensify | EurekAlert!

> A new study funded by the NSF and US Department of Energy, published in Geophysical Research Letters, finds that future El Niño and La Niña events are likely to produce more intense impacts on temperature, precipitation and wildfire risk over many land regions. The researchers highlight greater wildfire danger in the US Southwest during La Niña and wetter, cooler conditions with higher flood risk during El Niño.

- Date: 2018-09-12 · published 2018-09-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62944-future-impacts-of-el-nino-la-nina-likely-to-intensify-eurekalert
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The findings are long-term climate projections rather than near-term supply shocks, so they carry little immediate price signal. They do underline that ENSO-driven weather swings affecting grain and oilseed regions may become more severe over time.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-06-06 | [Texas Agriculture • June 6, 2025 • El Niño nor La Niña likely to impact Lone Star State this summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24120-texas-agriculture-june-6-2025-el-nino-nor-la-nina-likely-to-impact-lone-star.md) | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| CORN | 2024-03-28 | [El Niño to La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31125-el-nino-to-la-nina.md) | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| CORN | 2026-03-25 | [Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20086-return-of-el-nino-expected-but-impacts-not-likely-until-fall-agri-pulse.md) | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| CORN | 2021-08-18 | [La Niña’s Likely Return Could Impact Brazil, US Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45487-la-nina-s-likely-return-could-impact-brazil-us-corn.md) | -1.4% | -10.1% |
| CORN | 2024-01-16 | [Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production \| AGDAILY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32047-potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production-agdaily.md) | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| SOY | 2024-03-28 | [El Niño to La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31125-el-nino-to-la-nina.md) | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2026-03-25 | [Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20086-return-of-el-nino-expected-but-impacts-not-likely-until-fall-agri-pulse.md) | +1.4% | +0.8% |
| SOY | 2024-01-16 | [Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production \| AGDAILY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32047-potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production-agdaily.md) | +1.5% | -1.1% |

## Sources

- eurekalert.org: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/495383

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.