# What Europe can do if Bolsonaro attacks the Amazon - Fern

> An opinion piece examines how the EU could respond if Jair Bolsonaro, who led Brazil's first-round presidential vote, pursues policies weakening Amazon protection and indigenous rights. It argues trade is the EU's main leverage given its major investment in Brazil.

- Date: 2018-10-26 · published 2018-10-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62555-what-europe-can-do-if-bolsonaro-attacks-the-amazon-fern
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Possible EU trade pressure on Brazilian exports, or Brazilian expansion into Amazon land, could affect soybean and beef supply expectations, but the outcome is speculative.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- USDBRL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2020-10-28 | [Reading the Soy Leaves: What Soybean Imports Say About China’s 2020 US Election Preferences – The Diplomat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50503-reading-the-soy-leaves-what-soybean-imports-say-about-china-s-2020-us-election.md) | -2.1% | +10.1% |
| SOY | 2026-03-12 | [China soybean buying: What U.S. farmers need to know now](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14594-china-soybean-buying-what-u-s-farmers-need-to-know-now.md) | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2026-07-30 | [First Thing Today \| Wheat rallies overnight on Black Sea shipping disruptions - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18380-first-thing-today-wheat-rallies-overnight-on-black-sea-shipping-disruptions-pro.md) | -2.2% | +6.5% |
| SOY | 2018-12-01 | [Keeping an eye on Argentina for direction — This week in the grain markets - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61634-keeping-an-eye-on-argentina-for-direction-this-week-in-the-grain-markets.md) | +1.7% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2022-02-24 | [Afternoon Market Recap for February 24, 2022 – The Seam](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8526-afternoon-market-recap-for-february-24-2022-the-seam.md) | +0.1% | +2.6% |

## Sources

- fern.org: https://www.fern.org/publications-insight/article/what-europe-can-do-if-bolsonaro-attacks-the-amazon-963/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.