# African swine fever, trade war pain points for China | 2018-10-24  | MEAT+POULTRY

> CoBank reported that African swine fever has led China to cull nearly 200,000 pigs, and Chinese pork prices have risen 25 percent since July due to control measures. Chinese consumers are not substituting poultry for pork. A 62 percent Chinese tariff on US pork and higher soymeal prices from the trade war add pressure on Chinese protein producers.

- Date: 2018-10-24 · published 2018-10-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62546-african-swine-fever-trade-war-pain-points-for-china-2018-10-24-meat-poultry
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Tight Chinese pork supply may lead to higher pork imports, which could benefit US and other exporters, while higher soymeal costs squeeze Chinese livestock margins and feed demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-08-26 | [Poultry Prices and China’s African Swine Fever - EMERGING](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57742-poultry-prices-and-china-s-african-swine-fever-emerging.md) | -0.4% | -9.1% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-01 | [Poultry prices up amid swine fever in China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57732-poultry-prices-up-amid-swine-fever-in-china.md) | -0.8% | -15.9% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | +3.1% | -0.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-07-10 | [China floods blamed for fresh African swine fever outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51995-china-floods-blamed-for-fresh-african-swine-fever-outbreaks.md) | +9.3% | +9.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-05 | [China reports African swine fever outbreak in Yunnan province](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52486-china-reports-african-swine-fever-outbreak-in-yunnan-province.md) | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| SBM | 2021-07-12 | [African Swine Fever Persists in Parts of China - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45951-african-swine-fever-persists-in-parts-of-china-ukragroconsult.md) | +1.8% | +1.0% |
| SBM | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| SBM | 2018-09-11 | [African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63016-african-swine-fever-may-reduce-china-s-soybean-demand.md) | -4.1% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- meatpoultry.com: https://www.meatpoultry.com/articles/20371-african-swine-fever-trade-war-pain-points-for-china

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.