# Dry September cuts winter crop prospects by 15pc: ABARES - Grain Central

> ABARES cut its Australian winter crop forecast for 2018/19 to 28.22 million tonnes, down 15% from September, after dry September conditions and frost. Wheat was revised 13% lower to 16.53Mt, barley 17% lower to 6.91Mt, and canola 20% lower to 2.23Mt.

- Date: 2018-10-26 · published 2018-10-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62493-dry-september-cuts-winter-crop-prospects-by-15pc-abares-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A sharply smaller Australian crop tightens southern hemisphere wheat, barley and canola supply, supporting world export prices and creating import demand that lifts global feed grain and meal values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-12 | [Forecast decrease for winter crop production: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68910-forecast-decrease-for-winter-crop-production-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.0% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-09 | [Winter crop weather prospects hard to call + VIDEO - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64963-winter-crop-weather-prospects-hard-to-call-video-grain-central.md) | -1.1% | +2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-04 | [Winter crop production down after poor start to spring: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61530-winter-crop-production-down-after-poor-start-to-spring-abares-grain-central.md) | -0.3% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-13 | [Dry prompts ABARES to tip reduced Australian crop size - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68399-dry-prompts-abares-to-tip-reduced-australian-crop-size-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-16 | [Daily Market Wire 17 September 2025 - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7569-daily-market-wire-17-september-2025-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/uncategorized/dry-september-cuts-winter-crop-prospects-by-15pc-abares/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.