# El Niño set to return before end of the year: Kemp

> Reuters columnist John Kemp reports that El Niño is set to return before the end of 2018. He notes its main impacts fall on Southeast Asia, Australia and South America, and it brings wetter, cooler conditions to the southwestern US.

- Date: 2018-10-10 · published 2018-10-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62471-el-nino-set-to-return-before-end-of-the-year-kemp
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A return of El Niño threatens crops in key exporting regions such as Australia and South America, supporting grain and oilseed prices. Wetter US Southwest conditions have little direct effect on the main feed grain belt.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2021-12-31 | [Oilseeds at the turn of the year 2021-22 market report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43685-oilseeds-at-the-turn-of-the-year-2021-22-market-report.md) | +5.5% | +12.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-05-02 | [Probability of El Niño this year at least 50% – Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70916-probability-of-el-nino-this-year-at-least-50-red-cross-red-crescent-climate.md) | +3.2% | +3.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-06-27 | [Palm oil will rise in price in the second half of the year – forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35580-palm-oil-will-rise-in-price-in-the-second-half-of-the-year-forecast.md) | +12.1% | +13.3% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-07-07 | [Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34966-malaysia-forecasts-peak-of-el-nino-to-hit-in-early-2024.md) | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +1.5% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2026-05-06 | [Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19186-widespread-asap-forecast-warnings-on-crops-for-second-half-of-the-year-due-to.md) | +1.7% | -2.3% |
| CORN | 2023-09-14 | [2023 Corn Yield Forecasts: End-of-season Forecasts Suggest Near to Below-average Yields for the Region \| CropWatch \| Nebraska](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13247-2023-corn-yield-forecasts-end-of-season-forecasts-suggest-near-to-below-average.md) | -6.5% | -5.7% |
| CORN | 2022-10-06 | [Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13696-is-la-nina-returning-to-southern-brazil.md) | +0.8% | +0.2% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-elnino-kemp/column-el-nio-set-to-return-before-end-of-the-year-kemp-idUSL8N1WQ49D/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.