# Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook | NOAA Climate.gov

> NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released its 2018-19 winter temperature and precipitation outlook, presented as probabilities of below, near, or above average outcomes. The outlook depends on whether El Niño develops in time to influence winter conditions.

- Date: 2018-10-22 · published 2018-10-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A developing El Niño typically brings drier conditions to Southeast Asia, Australia and parts of South America, which can cut crop yields and lift feed ingredient prices later in the season. The forecast is a routine seasonal outlook rather than a new supply event, so the immediate price impact is limited.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-07-27 | [Look South, ENSO Forecasters! \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63937-look-south-enso-forecasters-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2019-11-04 | [Winter Weather Outlook for 2019-2020 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55982-winter-weather-outlook-for-2019-2020-integrated-crop-management.md) | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| CORN | 2021-10-25 | [November and Winter Weather Outlooks for 2021 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44468-november-and-winter-weather-outlooks-for-2021-integrated-crop-management.md) | +3.5% | +9.0% |
| CORN | 2018-01-18 | [NWS Outlook for First Half of 2018 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66923-nws-outlook-for-first-half-of-2018-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +0.7% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2019-03-13 | [Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia \| Viticulture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60013-climate-outlook-for-2019-growing-season-in-georgia-viticulture.md) | +4.3% | -1.0% |
| SOY | 2018-07-27 | [Look South, ENSO Forecasters! \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63937-look-south-enso-forecasters-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2018-01-18 | [NWS Outlook for First Half of 2018 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66923-nws-outlook-for-first-half-of-2018-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +2.4% | +5.0% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/another-mild-winter-noaa%E2%80%99s-2018-19-winter-outlook

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.