# Focus On… African Swine Fever – What to Expect?

> An FAO animal health expert outlines what to expect as African swine fever spreads, noting that China was first hit in August 2018 and that the virus has since reached six provinces. The article warns that the disease could disrupt pork markets across East and Southeast Asia if containment fails.

- Date: 2018-10-01 · published 2018-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62437-focus-on-african-swine-fever-what-to-expect
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

China holds over half of the world's pigs, so continued ASF spread would cut pork supply and lower feed grain and meal demand. The risk of spread to other major pork producers in Asia adds to the upward pressure on pork prices.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-12-13 | [African swine fever risk is real](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16316-african-swine-fever-risk-is-real.md) | +5.4% | +5.7% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-14 | [African swine fever ten years on: the lessons learned and the way forward](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54964-african-swine-fever-ten-years-on-the-lessons-learned-and-the-way-forward.md) | +2.6% | -8.9% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-23 | [African Swine Fever footprint expands - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59462-african-swine-fever-footprint-expands-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -2.2% | +2.8% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-22 | [Pork and Soybean Markets Adjust to African Swine Fever - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59588-pork-and-soybean-markets-adjust-to-african-swine-fever-proag.md) | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| HOGS | 2020-09-11 | [German African Swine Fever Case Changes Market Direction](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51244-german-african-swine-fever-case-changes-market-direction.md) | +5.4% | +19.9% |

## Sources

- emergence-msd-animal-health.com: https://www.emergence-msd-animal-health.com/focus-on/focus-on-african-swine-fever-what-to-expect/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.