# Soybeans Caught in Trade Tussle | St. Louis Fed

> A St. Louis Fed analysis notes that the U.S. exported 46% of its 2017 soybean production, with China taking 58% of U.S. soybean exports. The authors say economic models point to reduced U.S. soybean production and a negative impact on both countries from the 25% Chinese tariff.

- Date: 2018-10-25 · published 2018-10-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/62401-soybeans-caught-in-trade-tussle-st-louis-fed
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

The analysis underscores how dependent U.S. soybean prices are on Chinese demand, supporting a bearish outlook for soybeans and meal. It is background analysis rather than new market-moving information.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-07-12 | [China cuts soybean import forecast in face of trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63895-china-cuts-soybean-import-forecast-in-face-of-trade-war.md) | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| SOY | 2021-09-14 | [Reduced drought conditions improve corn, soybean yields \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44907-reduced-drought-conditions-improve-corn-soybean-yields-feed-strategy.md) | -0.8% | -3.5% |
| SOY | 2024-01-15 | [Bearish Surprises for Corn and Soybeans in Latest WASDE Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32062-bearish-surprises-for-corn-and-soybeans-in-latest-wasde-report.md) | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| SOY | 2025-09-30 | [Corn Falls on Bearish Report, Is $4 in the Cards? Soybeans Make Fresh Lows - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9839-corn-falls-on-bearish-report-is-4-in-the-cards-soybeans-make-fresh-lows-agweb.md) | +0.7% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2017-03-31 | [Soybeans Trumping Corn in 18 States \| Farm Bureau Intel Markets \| American Farm Bureau Federation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72026-soybeans-trumping-corn-in-18-states-farm-bureau-intel-markets-american-farm.md) | -2.2% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- stlouisfed.org: https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2018/october/us-soybeans-caught-trade-tussle

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.