# Global fertilizer prices expected to rise 21% in 2025 - Ecofin Agency

> The World Bank forecasts global fertilizer prices to rise 21% in 2025, with urea, DAP and potash surging up to 41% year on year in Q3. China's nitrogen export restrictions, phosphate curbs and EU sanctions and tariffs on Belarus and Russia are straining supply.

- Date: 2025-11-05 · published 2025-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6229-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-rise-21-in-2025-ecofin-agency
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Higher fertilizer costs squeeze farm margins and may reduce future yields. The forecast implies elevated input prices through 2025, with urea and DAP expected to ease in 2026.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +3.0% | +21.5% |
| UREA | 2025-05-14 | [Global fertilizer prices climb 11% in early 2025: World Bank  ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25007-global-fertilizer-prices-climb-11-in-early-2025-world-bank.md) | -2.9% | -25.4% |
| UREA | 2021-06-08 | [Fertilizer prices expected to stay high over the remainder of 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11017-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-over-the-remainder-of-2021.md) | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| UREA | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | -2.3% | -10.7% |
| UREA | 2022-10-08 | [Global Fertilizer Price Updates: September’ 2022 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39446-global-fertilizer-price-updates-september-2022.md) | -1.2% | -13.9% |
| DAP | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| DAP | 2021-06-08 | [Fertilizer prices expected to stay high over the remainder of 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11017-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-over-the-remainder-of-2021.md) | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| DAP | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | +0.2% | -11.9% |

## Sources

- ecofinagency.com: https://www.ecofinagency.com/news-agriculture/0511-50127-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-rise-21-in-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.