# China export controls emerge as factor in rising fertilizer prices - Nikkei Asia

> Fertilizer prices are climbing again amid geopolitical tensions around major producers China and Russia. Export restrictions imposed by Beijing are adding to supply constraints.

- Date: 2025-11-03 · published 2025-11-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6226-china-export-controls-emerge-as-factor-in-rising-fertilizer-prices-nikkei-asia
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter fertilizer supply raises farm input costs and could push up food prices. Continued export curbs point to firm fertilizer prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-11-03 | 1 | +4.1% | 5.3 | Dated Nov 3, it highlights Chinese export restrictions as a supply constraint pushing fertilizer prices higher, reinforcing bullish sentiment on the day. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-02-13 | [Fertilizer prices rise on supply chain issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20532-fertilizer-prices-rise-on-supply-chain-issues.md) | +0.1% | +31.0% |
| UREA | 2021-02-04 | [China gas shortage could be causing a shortage of fertiliser for farmers, pushing prices higher - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48946-china-gas-shortage-could-be-causing-a-shortage-of-fertiliser-for-farmers.md) | -5.3% | +1.7% |
| UREA | 2022-03-11 | [Doors Open for OCP as Ukraine Crisis Pauses Russian Fertilizer Exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42578-doors-open-for-ocp-as-ukraine-crisis-pauses-russian-fertilizer-exports.md) | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [Farmers see fertiliser price surge as Iran war blocks exports, threatening losses \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6254-farmers-see-fertiliser-price-surge-as-iran-war-blocks-exports-threatening.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-21 | [Fertilizer Shock Escalates as New Supply Risks Emerge - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20098-fertilizer-shock-escalates-as-new-supply-risks-emerge-bloomberg.md) | +1.9% | +11.9% |
| DAP | 2026-02-13 | [Fertilizer prices rise on supply chain issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20532-fertilizer-prices-rise-on-supply-chain-issues.md) | -0.3% | +2.8% |
| DAP | 2021-02-04 | [China gas shortage could be causing a shortage of fertiliser for farmers, pushing prices higher - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48946-china-gas-shortage-could-be-causing-a-shortage-of-fertiliser-for-farmers.md) | -1.2% | -3.8% |
| DAP | 2022-03-11 | [Doors Open for OCP as Ukraine Crisis Pauses Russian Fertilizer Exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42578-doors-open-for-ocp-as-ukraine-crisis-pauses-russian-fertilizer-exports.md) | +0.5% | 0.0% |

## Sources

- asia.nikkei.com: https://asia.nikkei.com/business/agriculture/china-export-controls-emerge-as-factor-in-rising-fertilizer-prices

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.