# Rocketing fertiliser prices forecast to continue amid war and surging cost of fuel

> Russia and Belarus together supply about 40% of traded potash, and sanctions and the Ukraine war have slowed trade with Russia. CRU's head of fertilisers expects fertilizer prices to keep rising amid higher energy and fuel costs. Concerns are growing about lower crop yields in Brazil, the largest fertilizer importer.

- Date: 2022-04-27 · published 2022-04-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/6218-rocketing-fertiliser-prices-forecast-to-continue-amid-war-and-surging-cost-of
- Commodities: [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Supply constraints in potash and nitrogen, together with high energy costs, support fertilizer prices and raise production costs for feed grains.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- NATGAS: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-25 | [Fertilizer prices surge amid Iran war, sparking food security warnings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20097-fertilizer-prices-surge-amid-iran-war-sparking-food-security-warnings.md) | +2.1% | +11.5% |
| UREA | 2022-05-31 | [Why fertiliser prices are soaring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41723-why-fertiliser-prices-are-soaring.md) | -8.8% | -13.2% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [Fertiliser costs are soaring amid war in the Middle East. Will your grocery bill follow?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6256-fertiliser-costs-are-soaring-amid-war-in-the-middle-east-will-your-grocery-bill.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2022-05-06 | [Prices of Most Fertilizers Continue Rise, as Wheat Prices Climb on Supply Concerns \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9741-prices-of-most-fertilizers-continue-rise-as-wheat-prices-climb-on-supply.md) | +0.4% | -17.1% |
| NATGAS | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +9.9% | +0.3% |
| NATGAS | 2026-03-05 | [Farmers see fertiliser price surge as Iran war blocks exports, threatening losses \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6254-farmers-see-fertiliser-price-surge-as-iran-war-blocks-exports-threatening.md) | +9.9% | +0.3% |
| NATGAS | 2022-10-04 | [How the Russia-Ukraine War Fueled Record Fertilizer Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39051-how-the-russia-ukraine-war-fueled-record-fertilizer-prices.md) | +5.0% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- smallcaps.com.au: https://smallcaps.com.au/article/rocketing-fertiliser-prices-forecast-continue-war-surging-cost-fuel

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.