# Australia set for smallest winter crop in a decade: Rural Bank - Grain Central

> Rural Bank's annual crop review forecasts Australia's 2018/19 winter crop at about 30 million tonnes, 30 per cent below the previous season and the smallest in a decade. Dry conditions in eastern states drove the decline, while Western Australia is expected to be near or above average.

- Date: 2018-11-01 · published 2018-11-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61992-australia-set-for-smallest-winter-crop-in-a-decade-rural-bank-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A sharply smaller Australian crop reduces exportable barley and wheat supply, supporting global feed grain prices and Asian buyers' sourcing costs.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-17 | [South Australia estimates winter crop at 6.25Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55029-south-australia-estimates-winter-crop-at-6-25mt-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-10 | [Eastern drought pushes Australian winter crop forecast lower - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62503-eastern-drought-pushes-australian-winter-crop-forecast-lower-grain-central.md) | +8.2% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-21 | [Tough times take toll on Australian winter crop: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56532-tough-times-take-toll-on-australian-winter-crop-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -2.2% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-22 | [SA winter crop forecast at 8.8Mt: PIRSA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34525-sa-winter-crop-forecast-at-8-8mt-pirsa-grain-central.md) | -4.2% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-12 | [Forecast decrease for winter crop production: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68910-forecast-decrease-for-winter-crop-production-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.0% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/australia-set-for-smallest-winter-crop-in-a-decade-rural-bank/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.