# Further tonnage shaved off production estimates | Farm Online | ACT

> ABARES warned that Australia's winter crop estimates will likely be cut further, with total winter crop production possibly falling about 15 per cent from the September forecast of 33.2 million tonnes to around 28.2 million tonnes. Wheat output has been cut to roughly 16.5 million tonnes after dry September conditions and frost damage.

- Date: 2018-11-06 · published 2018-11-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61990-further-tonnage-shaved-off-production-estimates-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Australian crop tightens export availability for wheat, barley and canola, supporting world prices and making Australian feed grains more expensive to import.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-07 | [Frost knocks tonnes off national crop estimates \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33122-frost-knocks-tonnes-off-national-crop-estimates-farm-online-act.md) | -1.8% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-11 | [Big season in west can’t drag national production up \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62983-big-season-in-west-can-t-drag-national-production-up-farm-online-act.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-21 | [Crop prospects diminish in key production zones \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70451-crop-prospects-diminish-in-key-production-zones-farm-online-act.md) | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-19 | [Production estimates tumble \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68916-production-estimates-tumble-the-land-nsw.md) | -6.6% | +3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-22 | [Grains analysts cut further winter crop tonnage in race to the bottom \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56531-grains-analysts-cut-further-winter-crop-tonnage-in-race-to-the-bottom-farm.md) | -0.6% | +5.5% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/5743157/further-tonnage-shaved-off-estimates/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.