# El Niño 2018/19: Central America identified as 'high risk' region by FAO

> The FAO has flagged several Central American countries as at high risk of food and agriculture insecurity due to the expected 2018/19 El Niño. The agency's advisory cites the strong 2015/16 event, which affected more than 60 million people and required about US$5bn in humanitarian aid.

- Date: 2018-11-29 · published 2018-11-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Central America · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61969-el-nino-2018-19-central-america-identified-as-high-risk-region-by-fao
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Drought in Central America could cut local maize and bean output and raise import demand for corn, sorghum and rice from the US and elsewhere. The effect is regional but supports feed grain demand from the Americas.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-04-17 | [Central America Regional Supply and Market Outlook \| FEWS NET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53558-central-america-regional-supply-and-market-outlook-fews-net.md) | -0.9% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2022-01-11 | [The heat is on in South America - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43043-the-heat-is-on-in-south-america-grain-central.md) | -2.8% | +4.1% |
| CORN | 2026-06-08 | [Agricultural production threatened by combination of El Niño and high input prices - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18726-agricultural-production-threatened-by-combination-of-el-nino-and-high-input.md) | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2018-08-24 | [FAO and WFP concerned about the impact of drought on the most vulnerable in Central America - El Salvador \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63457-fao-and-wfp-concerned-about-the-impact-of-drought-on-the-most-vulnerable-in.md) | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2023-11-13 | [Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33103-ongoing-el-nino-forecast-to-bring-dry-conditions-in-southern-africa-se-asia.md) | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| RICE | 2020-04-17 | [Central America Regional Supply and Market Outlook \| FEWS NET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53558-central-america-regional-supply-and-market-outlook-fews-net.md) | +16.4% | +21.6% |
| RICE | 2023-07-11 | [Rice Soars to Two-Year High in Asia on El Niño Drought Risks - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5208-rice-soars-to-two-year-high-in-asia-on-el-nino-drought-risks-bloomberg.md) | -19.6% | -16.6% |
| RICE | 2017-05-31 | [U.S. rice prices could be headed higher in 2017-18](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71084-u-s-rice-prices-could-be-headed-higher-in-2017-18.md) | -0.8% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- foodnavigator-latam.com: https://www.foodnavigator-latam.com/Article/2018/11/29/El-Nin-o-2018-19-Central-America-identified-as-high-risk-region-by-FAO/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
